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Monte Carlo draws your closed trades at random, again and again, into many paths, to show the range of outcomes they allow and how likely a deep fall is.
14 days free, card required. Then $49 a month unless you cancel. We email you the day before. One trial per account.
Start free The verdict and live tracking are paid.
Monte Carlo is on the paid plan.
Each path draws its trades from yours at random, one after another, so a trade can come up more than once.
A rule changes the paths, never your account.
38 paths stop at 10%
A range, not a forecast: it assumes your next trades look like the ones it draws from.
The median final balance: half the paths end above it
The floor at your confidence: at 95%, the balance 95% of the paths end above
The chance of a 50% fall: the share of paths that end at half the balance or less
The average max drawdown: each path's deepest fall, averaged
The spread of the final balances, percentile by percentile
How well your trades support the length of path you set